Probability Theory

Probability Theory explores the mathematical framework for quantifying uncertainty and making informed decisions based on random events.

Practical Applications

Probability in Weather Forecasting

Should You Bring an Umbrella?

Meteorologists use probability to predict the weather! When you hear there's a 70% chance of rain, that means that in similar situations, it rained 7 out of 10 times.

How Forecasts Work

  • Use past data and computer models to estimate probabilities.
  • Combine information like humidity, temperature, and wind to predict outcomes.

Probability helps you decide what to wear, when to travel, and how to plan your day.

Examples

  • Deciding to bring a raincoat when there's a 40% chance of rain.

  • Planning a picnic when the forecast says there's only a 10% chance of thunderstorms.